Galway United vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Galway United v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Galway United vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Galway United 2-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Galway United came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Derry City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We leaned Derry City at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Derry City saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.75 to 1.47.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Galway United against 1.50 for Derry City.
Galway United vs Derry City Result & Final Score
Galway United 2 - 1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Galway United vs Derry City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Galway United 28%, draw 29%, Derry City 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5 went the other way.