Derry City vs Galway United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Galway United — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Galway United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 1-1 Galway United — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City and Galway United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Derry City had 70% of the ball to Galway United's 30%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.14 to 0.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Derry City and 1.33 for Galway United.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Galway United?
Derry City 1-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Galway United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Derry City 48%, draw 26%, Galway United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No went the other way.