Bohemians 2-2 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.8
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.55
X/2
13%
7.18
X/X
7%
4.28
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
11%
5.65
2/X
10%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.40/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.96
+9% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.8 Crosses 12.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 285
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2026 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
26.10.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 2-3 HT 2-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
09.08.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-2 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
16.05.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
11.04.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
06.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
2-2
AWAY Shelbourne
0.93 xG 0.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
407 Passes 198
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians and Shelbourne couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians had 62% of the ball to Shelbourne's 38%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.93 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bohemians and 1.17 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Bohemians 2-2 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 41%, draw 26%, Shelbourne 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5
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