Waterford FC vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Waterford FC v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals
Waterford FC vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Dundalk
İRK
Waterford FC 3-3 Dundalk — Actual Match Statistics
Waterford FC and Dundalk shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dundalk at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Waterford FC had 43% of the ball to Dundalk's 57%, shots finished 17-26, expected goals 2.27 to 3.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Waterford FC and 1.50 for Dundalk.
What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Dundalk?
Waterford FC 3-3 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Dundalk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 18%, draw 24%, Dundalk 57%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundalk), Under 2.5 went the other way.