Dundalk 5-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.31
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.41
X/2
4%
8.81
X/X
11%
5.02
2/1
10%
22.65
2/2
11%
6.75
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.21/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.54
+19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
244 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 65%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
20.6 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Waterford FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.43 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 257
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
28.06.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-2 HT 0-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
10.05.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
15.03.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.09.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
29.10.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
5-0
AWAY Waterford FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk ran out comfortable winners over Waterford FC 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dundalk had 52% of the ball to Waterford FC's 48%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundalk and 1.83 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Waterford FC?

Dundalk 5-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 56%, draw 24%, Waterford FC 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✗ Under 2.5
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