St Patricks vs Drogheda United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St Patricks v Drogheda United — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Drogheda United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St Patricks 4-1 Drogheda United — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks ran out comfortable winners over Drogheda United 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, St Patricks had 67% of the ball to Drogheda United's 33%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 3.18 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St Patricks and 0.17 for Drogheda United.
What was the final score of St Patricks vs Drogheda United?
St Patricks 4-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Drogheda United?
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 62%, draw 21%, Drogheda United 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.