Derry City vs Shelbourne Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Shelbourne — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Shelbourne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 1-2 Shelbourne — Actual Match Statistics
Shelbourne nicked a narrow win over Derry City 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day Shelbourne made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Derry City had 57% of the ball to Shelbourne's 43%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 0.86 to 0.96.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for Shelbourne.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Derry City 1-2 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Derry City 40%, draw 34%, Shelbourne 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5 went the other way.