Derry City vs Shelbourne Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Shelbourne — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Shelbourne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 1-1 Shelbourne — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City and Shelbourne couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Derry City had 48% of the ball to Shelbourne's 52%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.29 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Derry City and 0.67 for Shelbourne.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Derry City 1-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Derry City 45%, draw 29%, Shelbourne 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No went the other way.