Cork City 1-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.05
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
12.35
1/2
9%
24.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
20.0
X/1
7%
13.7
X/2
24%
3.78
X/X
10%
5.4
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.75
2/X
5%
17.05
Value flag · 1/X at 20.0 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-8.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 69%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
0.72/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.77
-20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
206 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.4 Crosses 17.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
282 Passes 400
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.06.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-1 HT 3-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
02.05.2025 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
14.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-1 HT 2-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
30.10.2023 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.08.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
26.05.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
1-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.25 xG 0.66
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
207 Passes 536
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City and Shamrock Rovers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shamrock Rovers at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Cork City had 32% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 68%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.25 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cork City and 1.83 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers?

Cork City 1-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cork City 19%, draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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