Bohemians 2-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
7.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
23%
3.9
X/2
7%
14.35
X/X
6%
7.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.25
2/2
7%
11.6
2/X
6%
19.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-2.4pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.5pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 17%
-12% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +23%
1.48/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.70
-9% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 64%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
26.0 Crosses 13.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.71 xG 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
285 Passes 225
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.06.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
02.05.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 1-2 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
07.03.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
25.10.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
09.08.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-3 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
31.05.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
2-1
AWAY Waterford FC
1.27 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
317 Passes 331
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians squeezed past Waterford FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bohemians had 48% of the ball to Waterford FC's 52%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.27 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bohemians and 1.67 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Waterford FC?

Bohemians 2-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 64%, draw 17%, Waterford FC 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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