Bohemians 1-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.92
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.5
X/1
13%
3.97
X/2
9%
11.3
X/X
9%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.65
2/2
5%
9.36
2/X
5%
17.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.65 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.47/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.44
-5% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 64%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
25.3 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Galway United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.46
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
392 Passes 150
78% Pass Accuracy 56%
28 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
11.07.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 3-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
05.05.2025 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
28.03.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
01.11.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
04.07.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-0
AWAY Galway United
0.70 xG 1.68
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
501 Passes 158
83% Pass Accuracy 61%
14 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians edged past Galway United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bohemians had 70% of the ball to Galway United's 30%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.70 to 1.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Galway United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bohemians and 1.17 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Galway United?

Bohemians 1-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 61%, draw 21%, Galway United 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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