Drogheda United 0-1 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
23%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.5
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
7%
6.85
X/2
13%
4.52
X/X
15%
4.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.92
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.02/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.99
-6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
222 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 71%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.7 Crosses 19.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
0W-4D-2L
AWAY St Patricks
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.77 xG 1.67
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
137 Passes 344
58% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
21.04.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
14.02.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
01.09.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 4-1 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
07.06.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
03.05.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
0-1
AWAY St Patricks
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks edged past Drogheda United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Drogheda United had 37% of the ball to St Patricks's 63%, shots finished 8-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Drogheda United and 0.83 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs St Patricks?

Drogheda United 0-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 30%, draw 28%, St Patricks 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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