Waterford FC 1-2 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.08
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
16%
5.19
X/2
16%
6.42
X/X
13%
5.07
2/1
7%
23.65
2/2
15%
4.27
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.25/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.33
+33% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
24.2 Crosses 17.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
240 Passes 223
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.06.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
18.04.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
15.02.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-3 HT 0-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
31.08.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
07.06.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
03.05.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-2
AWAY Sligo Rovers
0.98 xG 2.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
279 Passes 379
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers nicked a narrow win over Waterford FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Sligo Rovers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Waterford FC had 45% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 55%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.98 to 2.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sligo Rovers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Waterford FC and 1.67 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Sligo Rovers?

Waterford FC 1-2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 39%, draw 25%, Sligo Rovers 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waterford FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waterford FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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