Waterford FC 2-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 32% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.62
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
8%
7.55
X/X
13%
4.5
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
5.98
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
2.70/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.93
+73% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
24.0 Crosses 23.6
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dundalk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 1.19
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
232 Passes 285
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-2 HT 0-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
10.05.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
15.03.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.09.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
29.10.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
03.09.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
2-1
AWAY Dundalk
0.96 xG 2.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
332 Passes 206
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC edged past Dundalk 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waterford FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waterford FC had 57% of the ball to Dundalk's 43%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.96 to 2.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured Dundalk.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Waterford FC and 0.83 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Dundalk?

Waterford FC 2-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 46%, draw 25%, Dundalk 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waterford FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waterford FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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