Shamrock Rovers 4-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
21%
3.95
X/2
5%
11.0
X/X
8%
5.17
2/1
10%
23.5
2/2
7%
9.32
2/X
8%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +36%
1.46/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.54
+0% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.6 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.38 xG 0.74
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
486 Passes 145
83% Pass Accuracy 59%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2026 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
12.09.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
31.08.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
16.06.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
09.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
14.03.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
4-1
AWAY Drogheda United
2.56 xG 1.25
72% Ball Possession 28%
12 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
566 Passes 174
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers ran out comfortable winners over Drogheda United 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 72% of the ball to Drogheda United's 28%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.56 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.67 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Shamrock Rovers 4-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 61%, draw 22%, Drogheda United 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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