Drogheda United 1-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.4
No
49%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
5.27
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
38%
+13.3pp
49%
BTTS No
62%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.37/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.74
-22% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +40%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
196 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 1.44
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
142 Passes 496
60% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
16.06.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
09.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
14.03.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
18.10.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
11.08.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United and Shamrock Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Drogheda United had 41% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 59%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Drogheda United and 1.83 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Drogheda United 1-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 21%, draw 29%, Shamrock Rovers 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRK More Ireland - FAI Cup
12 Sep 2025
21:45 Finn Harps vs Cork City Analysis →
21:45 Kerry vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →