Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.49
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.64
Over 2.5
55%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
21.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.19 — our 27% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.86
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.2
X/1
26%
3.61
X/2
4%
12.8
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
28.0
2/2
6%
12.25
2/X
5%
21.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
63%
+6.1pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
57%
-12.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
43%
+12.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.1pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +27%
1.53/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.46
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 67%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.2 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.45 xG 0.86
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
458 Passes 136
82% Pass Accuracy 58%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.06.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
09.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
14.03.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
18.10.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
11.08.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
31.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-1
AWAY Drogheda United
0.72 xG 0.89
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
586 Passes 197
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past Drogheda United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 70% of the ball to Drogheda United's 30%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 0.72 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.50 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 69%, draw 19%, Drogheda United 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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