Shamrock Rovers 3-0 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
19.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.86
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
18.45
X/1
18%
3.72
X/2
6%
13.4
X/X
10%
5.04
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
8%
12.65
2/X
7%
21.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.52/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.41
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
23.0 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Drogheda United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.57 xG 0.79
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
461 Passes 160
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
18.10.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
11.08.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
31.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
29.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
22.10.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 5-0 HT 3-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3-0
AWAY Drogheda United
2.47 xG 0.12
74% Ball Possession 26%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
593 Passes 138
86% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers ran out comfortable winners over Drogheda United 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 74% of the ball to Drogheda United's 26%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 2.47 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.33 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Shamrock Rovers 3-0 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 57%, draw 23%, Drogheda United 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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