Waterford FC 1-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.91
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
13%
6.59
X/2
19%
4.96
X/X
12%
4.45
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
12%
3.18
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
0.94/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.08
-9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 64%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.2 Crosses 24.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Galway United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.72 xG 0.97
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
244 Passes 195
66% Pass Accuracy 64%
13 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.03.2025 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
27.09.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
12.07.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
12.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
01.03.2024 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
10.10.2023 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-0
AWAY Galway United
1.44 xG 0.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
329 Passes 212
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
35 Box Touches 35
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC nicked a narrow win over Galway United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Waterford FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Waterford FC had 58% of the ball to Galway United's 42%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.44 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Waterford FC and 1.50 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Galway United?

Waterford FC 1-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 33%, draw 27%, Galway United 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Galway United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Under 2.5
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