Cork City vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cork City v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Cork City vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Derry City
İRL
2-0
HT 1-0
Cork City
İRL
1-3
HT 0-1
Derry City
İRL
2-0
HT 1-0
Cork City
İRL
Cork City 1-2 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City edged past Cork City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cork City had 49% of the ball to Derry City's 51%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.59 to 1.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cork City and 1.83 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Cork City vs Derry City?
Cork City 1-2 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cork City vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cork City 28%, draw 30%, Derry City 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.