Drogheda United 1-2 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 16 Jun 2025

📅16/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.69
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
8%
16.65
X/1
10%
8.93
X/2
16%
4.15
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.4
2/X
5%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+7.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.03/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.79
-2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
201 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.6 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.79 xG 1.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
141 Passes 457
59% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
14.03.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
18.10.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
11.08.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
31.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
29.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-2
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.55 xG 1.75
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
114 Passes 390
57% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past Drogheda United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Drogheda United had 30% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 70%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.55 to 1.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shamrock Rovers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Drogheda United and 2.17 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Drogheda United 1-2 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 29%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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