Finn Harps 0-3 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.27
6+ Goals
7%
22.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 38% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 45%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.77/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.68
+50% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +132% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
242 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Cork City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2024 Cork City Cork City 2-2 HT 0-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
20.07.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRK
12.07.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
26.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
23.02.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
27.09.2020 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
0-3
AWAY Cork City
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City ran out comfortable winners over Finn Harps 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Finn Harps had 49% of the ball to Cork City's 51%, shots finished 4-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Finn Harps and 1.33 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Cork City?

Finn Harps 0-3 Cork City in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 30%, draw 29%, Cork City 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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