Cork City 2-2 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.51/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.70
-22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.07.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRK
12.07.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
26.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
23.02.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
27.09.2020 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
28.02.2020 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
2-2
AWAY Finn Harps
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City and Finn Harps shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Cork City carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cork City had 64% of the ball to Finn Harps's 36%, shots finished 20-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cork City and 0.33 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Finn Harps?

Cork City 2-2 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cork City 57%, draw 24%, Finn Harps 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cork City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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