Treaty United 1-2 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.82
Over 2.5
39%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.66
6+ Goals
7%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 34% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.8pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
0.86/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.40
-37% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
06.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
01.04.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
22.09.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
23.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
05.05.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
1-2
AWAY Athlone Town
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town nicked a narrow win over Treaty United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athlone Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Treaty United had 44% of the ball to Athlone Town's 56%, shots finished 10-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Treaty United and 0.83 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

Treaty United 1-2 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 32%, draw 27%, Athlone Town 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athlone Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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