Cork City 1-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 29% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-11.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 16%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.36/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/1.66
+11% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / +63%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.07.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
26.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
23.02.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
27.09.2020 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
28.02.2020 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
20.09.2019 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City edged past Finn Harps 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cork City and 0.33 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Finn Harps?

Cork City 1-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cork City 55%, draw 24%, Finn Harps 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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