Sligo Rovers 1-1 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.41
1/2
8%
23.95
1/X
8%
18.0
X/1
7%
10.9
X/2
15%
3.88
X/X
6%
5.14
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
31%
1.98
2/X
9%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+5.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
54%
Away Win
59%
-5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 62%
+13% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
0.89/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.60
-17% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
17.9 Crosses 18.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY St Patricks
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.78 xG 2.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
266 Passes 348
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2026 St Patricks St Patricks 4-1 HT 2-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
27.09.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
10.08.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
30.05.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
28.02.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 4-3 HT 2-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
01.11.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
1-1
AWAY St Patricks
1.18 xG 0.96
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
195 Passes 349
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers and St Patricks shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was St Patricks at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 40% of the ball to St Patricks's 60%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.18 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sligo Rovers and 2.33 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks?

Sligo Rovers 1-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 23%, draw 23%, St Patricks 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St Patricks), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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