St Patricks 3-0 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.67
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
18.05
X/1
16%
3.83
X/2
6%
14.85
X/X
6%
6.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.6
2/2
11%
12.8
2/X
10%
20.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.6 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.6pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.59/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.80
+7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
23.2 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 Passes 246
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.05.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
28.02.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 4-3 HT 2-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
01.11.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
04.08.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
06.05.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
01.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
3-0
AWAY Sligo Rovers
4.28 xG 0.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
29 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
444 Passes 247
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
40 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks cruised past Sligo Rovers 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, St Patricks had 61% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 39%, shots finished 29-6, expected goals 4.28 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for St Patricks and 1.00 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?

St Patricks 3-0 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 58%, draw 20%, Sligo Rovers 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
10 Aug 2025
19:00 Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →