Sligo Rovers 0-1 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.54
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.32
1/2
8%
23.75
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
10%
7.44
X/2
9%
4.88
X/X
17%
5.06
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.77
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.17/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.09
-5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 66%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.9 Crosses 18.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY St Patricks
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.72 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 324
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 4-3 HT 2-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
01.11.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
04.08.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
06.05.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
01.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
23.10.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
0-1
AWAY St Patricks
0.60 xG 1.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
237 Passes 230
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks nicked a narrow win over Sligo Rovers 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 52% of the ball to St Patricks's 48%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.60 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sligo Rovers and 2.17 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks?

Sligo Rovers 0-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 28%, draw 29%, St Patricks 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
30 May 2025
21:45 Bohemians vs Derry City Analysis →
21:45 Waterford FC vs Drogheda United Analysis →
21:45 Cork City vs Shelbourne Analysis →
22:00 Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United Analysis →