Waterford FC 2-2 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.8
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.68
X/2
15%
5.84
X/X
12%
4.44
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
21%
3.97
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.19/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.82
+0% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 66%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
23.1 Crosses 22.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 0.72
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
310 Passes 163
72% Pass Accuracy 59%
17 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
11.10.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
26.07.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
23.05.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 4-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
23.02.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-4 HT 1-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
24.09.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
2-2
AWAY Drogheda United
2.30 xG 2.07
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
408 Passes 97
80% Pass Accuracy 46%
30 Box Touches 20
35 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC and Drogheda United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Drogheda United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waterford FC had 70% of the ball to Drogheda United's 30%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.30 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Waterford FC and 1.17 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Drogheda United?

Waterford FC 2-2 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 28%, draw 30%, Drogheda United 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Drogheda United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
30 May 2025
21:45 Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks Analysis →
21:45 Bohemians vs Derry City Analysis →
21:45 Cork City vs Shelbourne Analysis →
22:00 Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United Analysis →