Drogheda United 2-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 26 Jul 2024

Drogheda United
2-0 HT 1-0
Waterford FC
📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Drogheda United vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 30% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.48
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
19%
5.26
X/2
10%
5.69
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.9
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Drogheda United v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +25%
1.85/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.98
+47% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
20.4 Crosses 12.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Drogheda United vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Waterford FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 2.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
222 Passes 258
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.05.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 4-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
23.02.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-4 HT 1-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
24.09.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
30.07.2021 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
19.03.2021 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
24.08.2018 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK

Drogheda United 2-0 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
2-0
AWAY Waterford FC
1.10 xG 0.29
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
95 Passes 396
49% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United beat Waterford FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Drogheda United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Drogheda United had 28% of the ball to Waterford FC's 72%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.10 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Drogheda United and 2.00 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Waterford FC?

Drogheda United 2-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 40%, draw 24%, Waterford FC 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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