Drogheda United 2-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.62
Over 2.5
58%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.5
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.82
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
11%
4.52
X/2
7%
7.59
X/X
12%
4.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
29.0
2/2
15%
6.26
2/X
6%
15.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
58%
-15.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
42%
+15.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.47/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.83
+84% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
307 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 67%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.2 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.62 xG 1.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
170 Passes 320
60% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
26.07.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
23.05.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 4-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
23.02.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-4 HT 1-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
24.09.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
30.07.2021 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-2 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
2-0
AWAY Waterford FC
1.10 xG 0.66
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 9
138 Passes 268
53% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United saw off Waterford FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Drogheda United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Drogheda United had 40% of the ball to Waterford FC's 60%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.10 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Drogheda United and 1.83 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Waterford FC?

Drogheda United 2-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 46%, draw 25%, Waterford FC 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
4 Apr 2025
21:45 Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →
21:45 St Patricks vs Shelbourne Analysis →
21:45 Derry City vs Cork City Analysis →
21:45 Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →