Bohemians 4-2 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.81
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.35
X/1
17%
3.88
X/2
9%
13.15
X/X
11%
5.86
2/1
8%
23.3
2/2
9%
11.45
2/X
6%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.26/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.66
-12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 63%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
23.3 Crosses 13.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 223
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.07.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
17.05.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
16.02.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 1-2 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
29.09.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 3-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
30.06.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 3-1 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
4-2
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.20 xG 1.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
25 Total Shots 12
13 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
248 Passes 291
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians beat Sligo Rovers 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bohemians had 48% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 52%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 2.20 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bohemians and 1.33 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?

Bohemians 4-2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 52%, draw 24%, Sligo Rovers 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
4 Apr 2025
21:45 Drogheda United vs Waterford FC Analysis →
21:45 Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →
21:45 St Patricks vs Shelbourne Analysis →
21:45 Derry City vs Cork City Analysis →