Bohemians vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bohemians v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Bohemians vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bohemians 1-0 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Bohemians edged past Derry City 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Bohemians had 45% of the ball to Derry City's 55%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.14 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bohemians's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bohemians and 1.33 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Bohemians vs Derry City?
Bohemians 1-0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 43%, draw 29%, Derry City 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.