St Patricks 4-1 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.54
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
21.8
X/1
22%
3.53
X/2
6%
18.3
X/X
7%
6.23
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
4%
17.65
2/X
6%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-3.3pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.93/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.85
+18% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.0 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.88 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
323 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
10.08.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
30.05.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
28.02.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 4-3 HT 2-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
01.11.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
04.08.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
4-1
AWAY Sligo Rovers
3.58 xG 0.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 7
14 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
404 Passes 254
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
41 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks swept aside Sligo Rovers 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, St Patricks had 58% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 42%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 3.58 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for St Patricks and 1.00 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?

St Patricks 4-1 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 68%, draw 19%, Sligo Rovers 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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