Waterford FC 1-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
61%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
10.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
22.65
1/X
6%
19.15
X/1
4%
12.3
X/2
16%
3.83
X/X
8%
5.73
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
34%
1.82
2/X
8%
16.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.65 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
61%
Away Win
63%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 67%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.68/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.73
-11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
15.5 Crosses 17.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.50 xG 1.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
300 Passes 405
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
27.06.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.05.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
11.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
01.11.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
02.08.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.90 xG 1.93
26% Ball Possession 74%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 9
159 Passes 610
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 44
6 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC and Shamrock Rovers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Shamrock Rovers carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Waterford FC had 26% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 74%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.90 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Waterford FC and 2.00 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers?

Waterford FC 1-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 17%, draw 22%, Shamrock Rovers 61%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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