Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.55
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
20.7
X/1
22%
3.79
X/2
5%
18.2
X/X
7%
7.29
2/1
8%
22.9
2/2
8%
16.1
2/X
9%
24.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.8pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.70/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.84
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 67%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
22.8 Crosses 13.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Waterford FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 0.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
359 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
11.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
01.11.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
02.08.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
01.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-0
AWAY Waterford FC
2.52 xG 0.34
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
544 Passes 256
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers squeezed past Waterford FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 64% of the ball to Waterford FC's 36%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.52 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shamrock Rovers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.17 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 60%, draw 23%, Waterford FC 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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