Derry City 3-0 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
5.39
6+ Goals
11%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.16
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.8
X/1
19%
3.77
X/2
5%
11.2
X/X
13%
4.0
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
12%
10.9
2/X
6%
20.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +22%
1.45/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.43
-12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
426 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 66%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
23.8 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.64 xG 1.24
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
365 Passes 124
77% Pass Accuracy 55%
16 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
11.04.2025 Derry City Derry City 1-3 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
10.11.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-0 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRK
27.09.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
28.06.2024 Derry City Derry City 5-1 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
12.04.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-2 Derry City Derry City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
3-0
AWAY Drogheda United
2.70 xG 0.61
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
633 Passes 165
85% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City ran out comfortable winners over Drogheda United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Derry City had 73% of the ball to Drogheda United's 27%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.70 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Derry City and 1.83 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Drogheda United?

Derry City 3-0 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Derry City 51%, draw 27%, Drogheda United 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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