Waterford FC 1-2 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
55%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 30% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.92
1/2
16%
24.3
1/X
8%
16.85
X/1
10%
9.41
X/2
17%
4.03
X/X
8%
4.96
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.19
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
55%
Away Win
55%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
0.94/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.78
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
201 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
18.2 Crosses 18.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.45 xG 1.84
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
271 Passes 421
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.05.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
11.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
01.11.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
02.08.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-2
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.64 xG 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 392
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past Waterford FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Waterford FC had 45% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 55%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.64 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waterford FC and 1.83 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers?

Waterford FC 1-2 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 24%, draw 21%, Shamrock Rovers 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
22 Sep 2025
21:45 Galway United vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
21:45 Drogheda United vs Shelbourne Analysis →
21:45 St Patricks vs Cork City Analysis →