Drogheda United 2-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
54%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.49
6+ Goals
10%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.61
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
9%
7.71
X/2
17%
4.25
X/X
10%
4.04
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.67
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.5
Value flag · 2/X at 14.5 — our 9% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
54%
Away Win
48%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.02/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.04
-11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.7 Crosses 14.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.55 xG 1.30
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
155 Passes 522
60% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
18.04.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 2-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
07.03.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
07.02.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRSK
25.10.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.07.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
2-1
AWAY Shelbourne
0.23 xG 2.01
22% Ball Possession 78%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
128 Passes 648
58% Pass Accuracy 86%
4 Box Touches 46
6 Crosses 39
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United edged past Shelbourne 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shelbourne at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Drogheda United had 22% of the ball to Shelbourne's 78%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.23 to 2.01 — on chances, Shelbourne could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Drogheda United and 1.17 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Drogheda United 2-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 21%, draw 24%, Shelbourne 54%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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