Shelbourne 2-0 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cumhurbaskanligi Cup, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.51
Over 2.5
51%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.29
No
49%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
5.27
6+ Goals
11%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.45
X/1
15%
3.86
X/2
11%
8.81
X/X
11%
3.9
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
7%
8.27
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
18.2
Value flag · 2/X at 18.2 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
62%
-13.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
38%
+13.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Drogheda United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 0.80
65% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
424 Passes 173
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.07.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
10.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
05.04.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
03.11.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-4 HT 2-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
05.06.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
2-0
AWAY Drogheda United
1.81 xG 0.21
71% Ball Possession 29%
26 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
604 Passes 175
87% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne saw off Drogheda United 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shelbourne had 71% of the ball to Drogheda United's 29%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 1.81 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shelbourne and 1.50 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?

Shelbourne 2-0 Drogheda United in the Ireland - FAI Cumhurbaskanligi Cup on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 44%, draw 32%, Drogheda United 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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