Shelbourne 0-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.87
6+ Goals
10%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
20%
3.96
X/2
8%
8.81
X/X
18%
4.0
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
9%
8.02
2/X
7%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.58/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.30
-1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.0 Crosses 16.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Drogheda United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 0.67
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
456 Passes 164
81% Pass Accuracy 61%
23 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRSK
25.10.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.07.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
10.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
05.04.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
03.11.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-4 HT 2-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
0-1
AWAY Drogheda United
1.01 xG 0.35
79% Ball Possession 21%
17 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
639 Passes 107
87% Pass Accuracy 56%
27 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United squeezed past Shelbourne 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Shelbourne at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shelbourne had 79% of the ball to Drogheda United's 21%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.01 to 0.35 — on chances, Shelbourne could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shelbourne and 1.17 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?

Shelbourne 0-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 46%, draw 32%, Drogheda United 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shelbourne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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