Shamrock Rovers 1-0 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.99
6+ Goals
7%
19.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 37% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.25
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
4%
12.95
X/1
7%
5.01
X/2
14%
6.5
X/X
20%
4.07
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.88
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.7pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.21/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.01
+12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.7 Crosses 19.2
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St Patricks
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.44 xG 0.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 Passes 229
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.06.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
10.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
05.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
09.02.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRSK
27.10.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-0
AWAY St Patricks
0.60 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
279 Passes 386
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past St Patricks 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Shamrock Rovers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 42% of the ball to St Patricks's 58%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.60 to 1.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured St Patricks.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.67 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks?

Shamrock Rovers 1-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 35%, draw 30%, St Patricks 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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