Drogheda United 2-2 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
5.78
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.03 — our 43% vs market 40.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.42
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
12%
5.49
X/2
12%
5.26
X/X
17%
3.52
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
12%
4.14
2/X
9%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.8pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.45/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.81
+57% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +69%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.9 Crosses 12.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.72 xG 1.43
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
152 Passes 490
59% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
07.02.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRSK
25.10.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.07.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
10.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
05.04.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
2-2
AWAY Shelbourne
0.40 xG 1.39
21% Ball Possession 79%
5 Total Shots 27
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 10
99 Passes 646
53% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United and Shelbourne couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Drogheda United had 21% of the ball to Shelbourne's 79%, shots finished 5-27, expected goals 0.40 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Drogheda United and 1.33 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Drogheda United 2-2 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 37%, draw 33%, Shelbourne 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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