Bohemians 1-0 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.94
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
16.7
X/1
14%
3.91
X/2
6%
11.9
X/X
12%
5.39
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
7%
10.45
2/X
9%
19.1
Value flag · 1/X at 16.7 — our 10% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.5pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -24%
1.36/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.68
-3% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
23.1 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cork City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
329 Passes 181
74% Pass Accuracy 60%
23 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2025 Cork City Cork City 2-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
09.02.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City HAZ
03.11.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 4-0 HT 2-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
05.06.2023 Cork City Cork City 2-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
01.05.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 5-0 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
17.02.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-0
AWAY Cork City
1.17 xG 0.85
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 10
339 Passes 132
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
27 Box Touches 21
35 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians nicked a narrow win over Cork City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bohemians had 66% of the ball to Cork City's 34%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.17 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bohemians and 0.83 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Cork City?

Bohemians 1-0 Cork City in the Ireland - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 49%, draw 31%, Cork City 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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