St Patricks 2-2 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.82
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.26
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
9%
5.61
X/2
18%
5.38
X/X
15%
3.83
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.0
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
0.93/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.06
-10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.6 Crosses 19.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.15
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
256 Passes 396
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
27.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.06.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
10.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
05.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
09.02.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
2-2
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.43 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
348 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks and Shamrock Rovers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St Patricks had 53% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 47%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.43 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St Patricks and 1.33 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?

St Patricks 2-2 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 34%, draw 29%, Shamrock Rovers 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
18 Apr 2025
21:45 Waterford FC vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
21:45 Drogheda United vs Shelbourne Analysis →
21:45 Galway United vs Derry City Analysis →
21:45 Bohemians vs Cork City Analysis →