Sligo Rovers 1-0 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 32% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.39
1/2
9%
23.0
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
8%
9.24
X/2
20%
4.22
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.23
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 58%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.01/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.59
-11% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +71%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.0 Crosses 17.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY St Patricks
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.75 xG 2.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
245 Passes 326
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
30.05.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
28.02.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 4-3 HT 2-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
01.11.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
04.08.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
06.05.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
1-0
AWAY St Patricks
0.89 xG 0.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 11
262 Passes 363
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers nicked a narrow win over St Patricks 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was St Patricks at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 44% of the ball to St Patricks's 56%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.89 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sligo Rovers and 2.17 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks?

Sligo Rovers 1-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 25%, draw 24%, St Patricks 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St Patricks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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