Shelbourne 2-2 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
23.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 35% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.97
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.39
X/2
13%
4.9
X/X
15%
3.95
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.31
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · X/1 at 6.39 — our 18% vs market 11.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.02/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.21
+4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
14.1 Crosses 21.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bohemians
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.89 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
313 Passes 322
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.05.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
11.04.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
06.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
23.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-2 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
08.03.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
2-2
AWAY Bohemians
1.09 xG 1.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
332 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne and Bohemians couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shelbourne had 51% of the ball to Bohemians's 49%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.09 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shelbourne and 0.83 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Bohemians?

Shelbourne 2-2 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 35%, draw 26%, Bohemians 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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