Bohemians 2-3 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.01
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.8
X/2
8%
6.81
X/X
15%
4.41
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
8%
5.17
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.35/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.93
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.4 Crosses 12.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 Passes 311
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
09.08.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-2 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
16.05.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
11.04.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
06.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
23.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-2 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
2-3
AWAY Shelbourne
0.93 xG 1.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
268 Passes 229
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Bohemians 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians had 53% of the ball to Shelbourne's 47%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 0.93 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bohemians and 1.00 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Bohemians 2-3 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 45%, draw 29%, Shelbourne 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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