Derry City 2-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.75
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.86
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
11%
13.85
X/1
11%
5.28
X/2
12%
5.72
X/X
13%
3.77
2/1
11%
34.0
2/2
9%
4.36
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.1pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
0.98/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.97
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.5 Crosses 19.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
294 Passes 415
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
23.05.2025 Derry City Derry City 1-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
28.03.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
20.09.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
20.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
19.04.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-3 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
2-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.59 xG 0.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
221 Passes 359
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City edged past Shamrock Rovers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Derry City found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Derry City had 42% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 58%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.59 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Derry City and 1.50 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?

Derry City 2-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Derry City 36%, draw 34%, Shamrock Rovers 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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