Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.52
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
25%
4.07
X/2
8%
8.41
X/X
15%
3.97
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
6%
7.54
2/X
5%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.36/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.27
+25% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
18.2 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Derry City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
414 Passes 262
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2025 Derry City Derry City 1-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
28.03.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
20.09.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
20.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
19.04.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-3 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
04.03.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-0
AWAY Derry City
1.46 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
435 Passes 383
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 14
6 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers got the better of Derry City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 52% of the ball to Derry City's 48%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.46 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.83 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?

Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 52%, draw 28%, Derry City 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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3 Aug 2025
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